Your roster. The market’s view.
A prop line is a median.
Fantasy pays on the mean.
NFL yardage is right-skewed, so reading “62.5 receiving yards” as 6.25 points understates that player every week. OddBall fits a distribution to each player’s priced ladder and takes its mean, then scores it under your league’s own rules. Measured edge over reading the line naively: about +2 PPR points on a realistic board.
Email and password, or continue with Google. Connect an ESPN or Sleeper league in one step — a connection is public information: the platform, the league, the season and which team is yours.
Start the right nine
Every player’s week as a distribution, not a point estimate, with the win probability against the lineup your opponent has actually set.
Price a trade against your roster
A player is worth the difference between the lineups you would set with him and without him, week by week. A third running back who never starts is worth nothing, however he is ranked.
Read the market directly
Sportsbook props and prediction-market ladders, fitted and shown beside our own number — quoted in cents where they are quotes, in percent where they are forecasts, and never subtracted from each other.
Check the record
Every forecast is graded against what happened, on matched player sets with bootstrap intervals, and published either way.